The Los Angeles industrial real estate market is financialized. That means pricing reflects accepted investment principles. Investment buyers, flush with private capital, are searching for smaller and older buildings than what you would normally expect from fund level buyers. Assets owned by individuals, corporations, families, and partnerships are being sold to large investment groups, funds, and REITS. It started with “Class A” buildings but escalated for almost all industrial buildings with low interest rates after the Great Financial Crisis. Activity surged during Covid, levelled off during the recent period of higher interest rates, and is regaining strength with more capital allocations hitting almost all industrial properties that generate long-lasting income.
In our experience, some building owners prefer comprehensive marketing and others want discretion. We developed our resources to do both:
In less than 18 months, the industrial building market has shifted from low vacancy to abundancy. There are now 215 industrial spaces, greater than 50,000 square feet, available in the Greater Los Angeles Basin. This does not include Orange County, Inland Empire, or San Fernando Valley. Only the areas you see on the map (below). About 20% is sublease space.
The best value for most tenants is second and third generation spaces. Many of these buildings built since the year 2000 have the same characteristics as brand-new buildings except for ceiling heights, although many of these 2nd Gen buildings still go to 30’.
36’ high buildings came in around 2023
30’ – 32’ Clear was the norm starting in 2000
24’ Clear started as far back as 1975
Older buildings are equally functional as new buildings for less rent, especially if they have a low tax basis. One exception is if the tenant plans to install interior warehouse installations like mezzanines or specialty racking and automation. In these cases, latest generation buildings have an economic advantage because of height.
Some of the calculations we perform to determine functionality include:
Location and Distance
Docks per 10,000 SF
Building to land ratio
Cubic Capacity and Cost per Cube
Property Taxes/Expenses
Ceiling height
Sublease
To identify the better buildings, we subject all available properties through a macro analysis. This is the best way to identify differences in functionality and cost when there are a lot of choices.
Here is an example:
Let’s say you are in 100,000 square feet in the South Bay and you want to double in size. Some tenants will move completely to put everything under one roof. Other tenants will look for a satellite building as an interim step. Most South Bay companies will look locally and as far as Santa Fe Springs and Mid Counties. Some will want to go as far as IE West. What will you find?
We model the entire market on the Kleincom Industrial Building Analysis we developed on Streamlit. For this report (100,000 SF to 250,000 SF), we identify 55 choices of which 14 are subleases with terms of at least 3 years (some up to 5). For demonstration purposes, we will leave aside, the additional 80 or so buildings in Inland Empire West (Rancho Cucomonga, Ontario, Chino, and Fontana) that meet the size requirement.
Using Ceiling Height with 24’ as the minimum, we establish the following distribution. For most tenants, 30’ to 32’ is the sweet spot.
Buildings are dispersed over the entire Los Angeles Region.
The second factor to sort the choices is the Loading Dock Ratio measuring docks per 10,000 square feet to determine loading efficiency. Any dock ratio greater than 1.5 doors/10,000 square feet is considered highly efficient and closer to 2 docks/10,000 SF is superior.
Looking at the top results, it’s not always the newest buildings that are the best choices. You can lease 2nd or 3rd generation buildings for $1.75 to $1.95 per foot (all-in). About half of the buildings are 30’ or greater.
Results Table
Market Area
Size
Rate
Month
Clr
Year
Cubic Ft
Dock Ratio
B:L
Gardena/ Compton
300000
1.6
$480,000
26
1987
7800000
3.33
40%
Carson/Compton
300000
1.53
$459,000
25
1970
7500000
1.84
52%
Carson/Compton
285000
2.2
$627,000
32
2006
9120000
2.24
41%
Carson/Compton
250000
1.51
$377,500
25
1972
6250000
2.17
60%
MidCounties
250000
1.8
$450,000
32
2002
8000000
2.05
59%
Carson/Compton
150000
2.1
$315,000
36
2024
5400000
2.84
60%
Commerce/Vernon
150000
2.6
$390,000
36
2024
5400000
2.11
55%
For some tenant’s subleases may be the right answer because the terms are relatively short, and the financial commitment will be less. Ecommerce tenants and larger Amazon/Temu Sellers are drawn to subleases. The top subleases have exceptional loading and low property taxes. In most cases, landlords will renew when the lease expires.
Best Subleases
City
SF
Yr Blt
HGT
DH
Dock Ratio
Years Remaining
Carson
300000
1973
22
40
1.33
3.69
Industry
225000
1996
30
25
1.11
5.58
Torrance
200000
2000
30
30
1.50
2.69
Torrance
135000
2001
30
25
1.85
3.44
Commerce
125000
1957
22
55
4.40
5.28
Santa Fe Springs
120000
2003
30
30
2.50
3.78
La Mirada
100000
1997
30
20
2.00
2.44
Compton
100000
1981
24
15
1.50
3.02
Experienced tenants will use site plans to decide. There is a preference for a more rectangular building than a square so you can load more trucks simultaneously and divided to sub-customers if necessary. Here’s an example of two buildings of approximately the same size and asking rent. Most tenants would prefer the first building because loading exceeds 2 docks per 10,000 square feet, it has additional trailer parking, and the warehouse can be easily divided into sections while maintaining optimum functionality.
The second site plan is reasonably functional but only has 1 dock per 10,000 square feet, can only be divided in half and is less functional than the first example. For the same cost, most tenants will choose the first building.
With the high cost of land and construction costs, developers need to maximize building coverage to compete and make a profit. In other words, developers are often forced to build the largest possible building on the site while doing their best to keep the building functional. As you can see, some buildings are more functional than others.
Every tenant has different priorities, but most revolve around the same criteria of location and function. At Klein Commercial, we have 40 years of corporate real estate experience locating the best buildings for our clients. Our latest tool, the Kleincom Industrial Building Analysis, will help you make the best choice amongst all the available space on the market today.
Industrial real estate is a diverse business that includes Investment funds, developers, private/family owners, corporations, occupiers, and a mix of product types and industries. Industrial buildings are in every community and are the source of employment, production, distribution, and wealth for many. The nation’s economic health rides on the success of industrial real estate.
There are several factors that are driving deals today. Broadly, these include Interest Rate Policy, US Industrial Strategy, and Local Municipal Governance. Everyone is affected differently. For example, higher interest rates are never good for real estate, though they affect sales more than leases; sale transactions are interest rate sensitive while leasing is supply and demand based. As an experienced broker, we use detailed knowledge, market analytics, and long-standing relationships to help you in making the best decision. Continue reading “How Is Industrial Real Estate Today?”
I could not start the year without acknowledging the tools that are currently available at Open AI. I’ve recently created a new FAQ page with the use of ChatGPT and Dall-E 2. It must have been under the wire before Google Search created new defenses against text bots. I received one solid lead from a company looking for 30,000 square feet because of the AI-generated explanation of my services. Continue reading “Three Innovations for 2023”
Leasing Industrial Property in Los Angeles County Under the New Green Zone Ordinance
Green Zones
Green Zones are an entirely different way to look at zoning. It is an outgrowth of the Environmental Justice Movement that had its local origins addressing diesel exhaust at the Port Complex in San Pedro Bay. Properties are analyzed and graded based on their contribution to health disparities using the Environmental Justice Screening Method (EJSM). The EJSM is a new tool and strategy that is designed to correct unhealthy conditions by establishing new mitigation mechanisms. The County will use the EJSM for ongoing monitoring and annual reporting to the parcel level.
Depending on the EJSM score, Regional Planning offers four (4) different routes to approval. The simplest is Site Plan Review (SPR) and it is approved administratively in what we use to call, “over the counter”. The other three routes are discretionary and require formal application and Public Hearing at different levels of planning authority. Generally, the greater the health impact, the longer the approvals. Continue reading “Leasing Industrial Property in Los Angeles County Under the New Green Zone Ordinance”
For the past several years, and particularly during the COVID-19 Period, conventional underwriting took a back seat to momentum. No one’s pro-forma predicted the incredible rent growth over this period. Low interest rates and shortage of product drove prices higher. Industrial rents doubled in two years. Underwriting was limited to the simple and liberal measurement of Net Rent/Purchase Price = Rate of Return. Any return higher than treasury rates signaled a buy. It was the period of “Search for Yield”. Continue reading “Stricter Underwriting is Here – Industrial Policy is a New Catalyst”
Putting a property on the blockchain allows people to transact if they have the link. When we post a property, the blockchain generates a cryptographic key which allows the possessor access to the property. We give that key, in the form of a link or a QR code. There are associated rights with the key that are compared to an NFT or a token, but our purpose for using the blockchain is its ordering system. The key is only sent to Selected Trusted Parties that are registered or known. Nothing is posted online or in the Multiple Listing Services because blockchain is used for privacy. Continue reading “Blockchain: Should You Post Your Industrial Property?”
The center of industrial real estate for Los Angeles.
I’m Jim Klein and today I will show you, how to use the blockchain to send and receive files, decentrally among trusted parties.
Let’s go inside.
Here’s how it works. We input the address of the property on the top line. In this case, it’s 19475 Gramercy Pl, Torrance, CA. It’s a 47,000 ft manufacturing, industrial storage building. Contact ID is where we can put the user’s email or a customer number that we generate. We include the file and we press go.
After pressing go the program creates a QR code and a link that I can send to the customer. Only parties who have the link or code can open the file. It records on the blockchain to serve as proof.
With the link you can either click on it or put it in your browser, and the file is transmitted to the party you want to send.
My first use case is offmarket industrial real estate. Meta tags can be used to search the blockchain by keyword.
I’m asking for your help to expand the project and make more deals together. Thank you to the innovation committee and you watching.
We’ll be meeting in Phoenix for SIOR next week. They are bi-annual conferences, and this will be my 60th in attendance. There are three main reasons I attend. I learn from the best brokers and owner/developers in the industry. There are deals to make and I will see longtime friends. The 4th reason this year is to show how blockchain finds more industrial building deals.